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Paul Johnstone – Trusted Technology Advisor

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Understanding your hypothesis

Paul JohnstoneJuly 17, 2022July 17, 2022 No Comments

Well, the first thing to accept is that no matter how much research you do, your product is just a theoretical solution to a human need or want that you hope will result in business success.

The hypothesis is your guess at why a particular solution will succeed. Once you succeed, and people are buying and using your product it’s no longer a hypothesis.

It’s a fact.

Most founders start with their idea. But an idea doesn’t tell you whether customers have the problem you’re solving or if they want the outcome you’re delivering. This makes ideas a terribly fragile and risky starting point.

Start with a hypothesis instead.

A hypothesis codifies what you don’t know into a theory you can test. With a hypothesis, you’re looking to make observations and see if you’re right or wrong. In case this seems like semantics, here’s how a hypothesis is fundamentally different from an idea:

  • An idea is something a founder falls in love with and grips tightly; a founder guides an idea.
  • A hypothesis is something a founder tests and holds loosely; customers and evidence guide a hypothesis.

Happy building…

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